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RICHARD GRINELL, COVENTRY, ENGLAND
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THE AGE OF THE ZODIAC KILLER IN 1969

3/4/2016

 
There is a thread being discussed on Zodiac Killer Site forum entitled Zodiac Minimum Age, for which I will post a link later - but it is attempting to narrow down Zodiac's likely age at the time of the four confirmed Zodiac attacks, along with the Cheri Jo Bates murder. Since the Bates murder in 1966 has yet to be fully incorporated into the Zodiac timeline as a definite Zodiac crime, the following analysis will examine the three confirmed attacks bearing eyewitnesses, along with the Zodiac communications, to narrow down a possible answer on the age of our killer during the years of 1968 and 1969. The following will be a personal opinion and by no means definitive, however, the following will recollect under one banner the relevant eyewitness statements and what they actually stated about their assailant. 
PictureMichael Mageau (19)
Michael Mageau survived the attack at Blue Rock Springs Park on July 4th/5th 1969.

​It can be said with confidence that Michael Mageau's recall of the events that night are sketchy, often contradicting himself in the police report, nevertheless, his description of the killer is as follows: On page 6 of the police report Michael stated "A white man drove up in a car, got out, walked up to the car, shined flashlight inside and started shooting. Man was older than me". On page 10 of the police report Michael stated "Subject was not blubbery fat, but real beefy, possibly 195-200, or maybe even larger. Stated he had short curly hair, light brown, almost blond. States he just saw subject's face from the profile, side view, and does not recall seeing a front view. Michael reemphasized that he really did not get a good look at subject other than his profile. Stated subject was a white male, approximately 26-30 years". ​It is fair to say, this is understandable, as the killer carried a high-powered flashlight and began firing immediately upon arriving at the passenger side door of the Corvair. 

PictureBryan Calvin Hartnell (20) and Cecelia Ann Shepard (22)
The Lake Berryessa attack on September 27th 1969.

Bryan Hartnell survived the vicious stabbing at Lake Berryessa, whereas Cecelia Shepard sadly died two days after the attack. Cecelia Shepard saw the assailant unmasked at a distance for a brief period, but during the close quarter interaction with the young couple the Zodiac Killer was masked throughout. Bryan Hartnell's recollections were stated on page 23 of the police report: "Victim thought suspect was possibly 20-30 years of age by voice concept".

The question here, is how reliable is pinpointing somebody's age by the sound of their voice, and probably why a 10-year estimation range is given. Then finally, at Presidio Heights on October 11th 1969, the police got the best descriptions to date, when the Zodiac Killer continued his murderous campaign two weeks later in the heart of San Francisco.  

PicturePaul Stine (29)
Paul Stine was murdered in his taxicab on October 11th 1969 at the intersection of Washington and Cherry, and was observed by three teenagers from a property across the road. The murder was logged at 9:55 pm, with the teenagers approximated distance from the taxicab about 50 to 60 feet away from an elevated position. A short time later, Officers Donald Fouke and Eric Zelms were driving along Jackson Street when the Zodiac Killer was spotted by Donald Fouke. Here are the respective parties descriptions of the killer.

The three teenagers were attributed with the description of the killer as "A white male, 25-30 years old, 5'8" to 5'9", stocky build, reddish-brown hair worn in a crew cut, heavy rimmed glasses and dark clothing". Although this conflicts with the description in the police report.

Donald Fouke in his typed memorandum from November 12th 1969 stated he was a "WMA, 35-45 yrs, about 5'10", 180-200 lbs, medium heavy build, barrel chested, medium complexion, light colored hair possibly graying in rear, crew cut, wearing glasses". Donald Fouke corroborated the teenagers sketch of the killer in the 2007 documentary with the addendum that the killer was "likely older and heavier".

Summing up: Michael Mageau viewed what could be described as a fleeting glimpse of the killer, Bryan Hartnell estimated his age range on voice analysis, whereas the three teenagers and Officer Donald Fouke viewed the killer for an extended period. The three teenagers, although affected by distance and street lighting, got an unrestricted view of the murderer for at least 3-5 seconds as the killer exited the taxicab, wiped down the passenger side and headed toward the driver side door. This is the time period where the teenagers got a full frontal, unobscured view of the Zodiac Killer's face.

Officer Donald Fouke on the other hand, stated he observed the suspect as he approached the intersection of Jackson and Maple. He stated in the 2007 This is the Zodiac Speaking documentary, that he "Slowed down as we passed him, we were still rolling, saw that it was a white male, step on the gas, 5, 10, 15 seconds tops from first spotting him to passing him".  Combined, the three teenagers and Officer Donald Fouke got the longest view of the Zodiac Killer by far. The question being, do we place more credence in Officer Donald Fouke's description, being a police officer trained in observation and being distinctly closer to the Zodiac Killer than the three teenagers.   

PictureThe Zodiac Sketch
Let us take the median values of all the eyewitness estimations, Michael Mageau's 26-30 = 28, Bryan Hartnell's 20-30 = 25, the three teenagers 25-30 = 27.5 and Donald Fouke's 35-45 = 40. Combining all these median ages and dividing by 4 we get 28+25+27.5+40 = 120.5 / 4 = approximately 30 years.
If we take only people who actually saw Zodiac, then it is approximately 32 years. If we take the two longer sightings at Presidio Heights then it's 32.5 years. This gives us an age range of 30-33 years of age.

​If we value Officer Donald Fouke's description, being a trained observer, over the three teenagers, then this estimation of 32.5 years would rise. It is important to factor in the time each eyewitness was observing the killer, in association with the distance they observed the killer from. In this respect, Donald Fouke viewed the suspect closer and longer, followed by the teenagers, and then Michael Mageau, who never furnished a sketch of the suspect at the time. If we attribute credibility to the eyewitnesses in this format, then the likelihood is that Officer Donald Fouke's sighting would take top billing and raise the likely age of the Zodiac to the high 30s.
​
It has been speculated that Officer Donald Fouke stopped the Zodiac Killer, based upon him continuing toward Arguello Boulevard rather than turning south into Cherry Street when responding to the crime, The Zodiac claimed he was stopped in the Bus Bomb letter on November 9th 1969, stating "2 cops pulled a goof". Later statements by Officer Armond Pelissetti in the documentary This is the Zodiac Speaking indicated as such. Reported statements of Diane Zelms (wife of Eric Zelms), who Eric allegedly told they stopped the Zodiac that night, along with Donald Fouke's extensive description of the suspect walking on Jackson Street, appeared to suggest Zodiac was questioned that night. If this was the case, then Donald Fouke's eyewitness description of "35-45 years" in accompaniment to the age of "about 40" reported in the October 12th San Francisco Chronicle by other eyewitnesses, would carry far greater weight, placing Zodiac in the median range of 40-41 years of age. If you believe the Zodiac Killer was stopped, then it is more likely the Zodiac Killer is of the higher age range, in direct contradiction to the younger Zodiac suggested by the other eyewitnesses. It is also important to remember that Donald Fouke stated in his memorandum one month after the murder of Paul Stine, that the unknown male on Jackson Street was "possibly graying in the rear", which coupled with a description of a widows peak, may suggest a man at least in his 30s. The average age for a man to start graying is 30-35 years. 

Picture
Then we have the Zodiac correspondence and his reference to his victims as "boy" and "girl", suggesting a generational difference, along with his historical references from theatrical influences such as The Mikado (1885) and others. 

The question to be asked, is​ which eyewitnesses do you lend the most credence to? The median values averaged out, suggests the Zodiac Killer was likely 30-33 years of age in 1969. However, I personally tend toward the eyewitness testimony of Officer Donald Fouke, with an estimated range of 35-45 years.
Taking this, and everything else into account, my conclusion is that the Zodiac Killer was approximately 40 years of age in 1969.

THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN BEEN REEXAMINED IN 2019 TO OFFER GREATER REASONING TO THE ESTIMATED AGE OF 40. THE THREE TEENAGE EYEWITNESSES NEVER STATED THE SUSPECT WAS 25 TO 30 YEARS OF AGE.
THE AGE OF THE ZODIAC WAS 40 IN 69.

To view this topic on Zodiac Killer Site forum visit here.

Greg H.
3/4/2016 12:25:55 pm

I think, RIchard, the perceived age of an individual will be directly influenced by the age of the observer / person making the estimate. Teenagers, being so young themselves, might think that an approximate age of 25-30 is far older than it actually is. Likewise, Donald Fouke who was certainly beyond his teen years and possibly around 30 in 1969 (do we know his exact age?) would likely have a better frame of reference (himself) for narrowing in on the correct age of the person he observed. As an adult, Fouke, it can be argued, was able to ask the very specific question "is this suspect older or younger than myself?" The teenagers knew the killer was older than they were but their subsequent guess of 25-30 is somewhat arbitrary on the grounds of their youth-influenced perceptions. Following this theme, people in their 80s tend to think those in their 40s and 50s are "kids." Everything is in the eye of the observer...It's certainly true that people age differently (some younger people look old and vice versa) but I really think the teens underestimated his true age. 25-30 is ancient when you're 14.

Gene K
3/11/2016 08:04:35 pm

Look at the photo of Paul Stine. I'd guess the man's age at 40, at a glance, which is all our witnesses had. In fact, he was 29. (as you bother to point out.) Receding hairlines and glasses automatically lend the wearer an older look. Who knows? I guess Z to be late 20's. Purely subjective, I admit.

Forestknite
5/19/2016 11:45:24 pm

The average age of American male serial killers when they first kill is 27.5. Teenage eyewitness accounts to a crime are usually the most reliable, or so says the F.B.I and Oxford University http://psychsocgerontology.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2013/03/25/geronb.gbt014.full
The P.H teenagers undoubtedly got a great look at the Z.K. The oldest witness going downstairs in the dark to get a clearer and closer look shows this kid was level headed and why this general description is the only one that should matter. I don't put much stock in the composite though, It's probably in the ballpark of what he looked like that night but just too vague. Love to see it remade with forensic computer composites, even after all this time. And all you Z sleuths put way too much into him wearing glasses, shooting someone with a contact headshot will almost certainly blind you and hinder any escape(experience). And the hint of red hair they saw, blood spatter. Glasses tend to make people look older and the teens would have over shot just a few years. Him calling his victims kids is just part of his nature, their inferior to him and this is a game he had played a million times in his head. This guy wasn't a mad genius but very cunning and clever, always thinking ahead in every part of his life, that's his thrill. His letters show a youthful immaturity and IMO the Zodiac Killer was 21-25 YOA.

Brice link
7/12/2019 10:40:57 pm

I'm aching to know the 100% positive name of the zodiac!


Comments are closed.
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