The first thing to consider is the trusted geographic profiling technique of the 'least effort principle' and the high probability that the Zodiac Killer had a standard 9-5 occupation, which seemed to govern his actions during all four of his attacks. This is not a giant leap of faith bearing in mind that a serial killer will often begin his crimes close to home before venturing further afield, based on a 'buffer zone', that generally facilitates a safe and speedy return once the crime has been commissioned, but obviously not too close as to wipe your feet on the front doormat. Taking this as a rule of thumb, if the Zodiac Killer had finished his working week on Friday at 5 pm then using the 'least effort principle' and 'buffer zone' as a template, one would expect the Zodiac Killer's first crime to be relatively close to home, especially considering he had finished work that same day. If he lived in the southern reaches of Benicia then the Lake Herman Road double murder of Betty Lou Jensen and David Faraday on December 20th 1968, approximately 5 miles away, seems to fit the bill. It is neither too close to home, as well as allowing for a relatively short journey time of 10 minutes to the safety of home. Bearing this in mind his first two attacks would have been chosen using this 'least effort principle' as both were on a working day, both were on a Friday and both crimes fell within a 10 mile radius of the lower region of Benicia. His rest day of Saturday is when he traveled further afield, firstly to Lake Berryessa and culminating with the Presidio Heights murder of Paul Stine.
Lake Herman Road is a two lane, secluded and unlit road, infrequently used by commuters in 1968 and somebody who lived in San Francisco would have been unfamiliar with this road, that is, unless of course he had previously lived in the Vallejo or Benicia regions. But furthermore it flies in the face of what we assume was the Zodiac Killer's first crime, in that the 'buffer zone' is unnecessarily lengthy and risky and the 'least effort principle' has been abandoned. The distance from the nearest point of San Francisco to Lake Herman Road is roughly 32 miles or a journey time by car of approximately 50-60 minutes.
The Zodiac Killer may have lived in Vallejo but his actions after the double slaying at Lake Herman Road speaks volumes. He exited the turnout and headed east to Benicia. This was explained in a previous post entitled 'East to Benicia' and here is a small portion as a reminder.
Eyewitness testimony from the Lake Herman Road murders, suggested a very small window of time that the Zodiac Killer had available to him to escape detection, but one eyewitness, that of Stella Borges was the most crucial of all. A second eyewitness James Owen passed the turnout heading towards Benicia, at what was calculated to be 11.14 pm and he saw no victims. Stella Borges, in a revised timeline, passed the turnout at approximately 11.20 pm and saw both victims, David Faraday and Betty Lou Jensen lying on the gravel turnout.
Based on this chain of events the earliest the Zodiac Killer could have murdered the young couple and started to leave the turnout would have been 11.15 pm. Stella Borges, it was estimated, left her ranch at 11.15 pm heading towards Benicia. She reported passing no vehicles en route. Therefore the Zodiac Killer could not possibly have headed towards Vallejo along Lake Herman Road. The only possible scenario using these timelines is the Zodiac Killer headed in an easterly direction towards Benicia and towards the relative safety of home.
After committing two brutal murders, possibly covered in biological material from the close contact murder of David Faraday, the sound of at least nine shots on a still dark night and almost certainly still in possession of a .22 weapon, it would have been unimaginably stupid and furthermore made little sense for the killer to head in the opposite direction to his home residence, thereby risking a prolonged period of detection and in all likelihood ruling out Vallejo as a location point for Northern California's most elusive serial killer.
No mention of a negro male is detailed in the police report and quite frankly why would he mention it, if indeed it happened at all. It appears on the face of it to be providing police exact details of a man seen by the Zodiac in the area and a possible port of call, when attempting to locate a second key witness during the nights events. But it is the detail of the description that raises a red flag. He describes his age as 40 to 45, a rather unnecessary point as his age was irrelevant, as was the detail of his attire. The Zodiac Killer also responds to the Vallejo paper, but continues this by emphasizing and corroborating the fact his car was brown and pointing out that when he hung the phone up ' the damn thing began to ring & that drew his attention to me + my car'. The Zodiac Killer again emphasizes 'me and my car', when there was no reason to add 'my car' to the end of the phrase. That is unless he was employing a double bluff, in that he was telling the truth but wanted it to be perceived as a lie.
Had the police believed as many have, that the killer would have wanted to get rid of the 'smoking gun' as soon as possible, after what he thought was the murder of two young people at Blue Rock Springs Park, then this missing 30 minutes would not have gone unnoticed by law enforcement. His overtly over the top description of the payphone incident, may have been Zodiac misdirection at its best and he had actually drove straight home after the Blue Rock Springs attack, changed his clothes, dropped the weapon, readied himself and walked back to the payphone. After all police would have been looking for a murderer in possession of the 'smoking gun' and being on foot, having discarded his car, clothes and weapon, the Zodiac Killer would now feel far more confident. And this is what the Zodiac Killer had hoped police would believe. He wanted to guide them into disbelieving what he wrote and center their focus within a walking distance of the Springs Road and Tuolumne payphone.
The above approach is a little flawed in that we deduct the 10 minutes traveling time from Blue Rock Springs Park to the payphone, leaving us 30 minutes unaccounted for, but this is not strictly true, as his journey time to the payphone is dependent on where he went first and also whether his residence sits somewhere en route to the payphone, nevertheless it is a worthwhile guideline.
In addition, the lost 30 minutes in a car means little, he could have gone anywhere in any direction during this time period and the search would have widened once more. It should be noted however that the traveling time from Blue Rock Springs Park to southern Benicia and back to the Springs Road and Tuolumne intersection, with 10 minutes turnaround at his possible home residence is 38 minutes by car, almost giving us the time difference between the Blue Rock Springs attack and the phone call to Nancy Slover. The Zodiac Killer's intent was exactly the same as after the Lake Herman Road murders, that being to discard his weapon immediately, but by traveling back to this particular payphone his intention was to create a red herring and divert the police's attention towards Vallejo.
The 'Debut of Zodiac Letter' even gave us the line 'I did not leave the cene of the killing with squealing tires + raceing engine as described in the Vallejo paper ', making sure it was understood, he did indeed read the Vallejo paper and cement his ties to the area even further. In the 'Bus Bomb Letter' mailed on November 9th 1969, he rams home the message once again, ' Have fun!!. By the way it could be rather messy if you try to bluff me. PS. Be shure to print the part I marked out on page 3 or I shall do my thing. To prove that I am the Zodiac, Ask the Vallejo cop about my electric gun sight which I used to start my collecting of slaves' . We were not bluffing him, but he surely was bluffing us. Have you got the message he was pushing down our throats, he lived in Vallejo.
We can carry this premise onto the double stabbing at Lake Berryessa on September 27th 1969 and more importantly, what did the Zodiac Killer do with the incriminating evidence. The knife, gun and the executioners costume, were in this case the 'smoking gun' and he wanted to dispose of them as soon as conceivably possible.
Access in and out of Lake Berryessa via the Knoxville Road creates a problem and the 27 mile journey to the payphone at 1231 Main Street takes approximately 48-50 minutes by car.
After the Lake Berryessa attack the killer wrote on the car door of Bryan Hartnell's white Karmann Ghia, indicating the time of the attack was 6.30 pm. Of course this may not be true or accurate. The attack may have been at 6.30 pm, but he may have written the message on the car door at 6.40 pm after traversing the location of the stabbing up the incline to the road. But using this as our guideline, the 50 minute journey to 1231 Main Street where he placed his second phone call, would have placed him at the payphone at 7.20 pm - 7.30 pm, however the phone call was logged at 7.40 pm, leaving us another possible shortfall of 10-20 minutes. If this is the case, what was he doing for this unaccounted time. Even allowing for his removal of the costume and any reconnaissance at the payphone, there is still a measurable ambiguity. The Zodiac Killer must have conceived that if the victims had been discovered quickly and radioed in, his 50 minute journey was fraught with danger, particularly along the initial part of his journey along the Knoxville Road. Being stopped with a blooded knife and executioners costume would take some explaining. Had he kept hold of them all the way back to the Vallejo/Benicia areas, then the phone call at Napa would have placed him in further danger. Police, having possibly discovered the car door and already aware of the Zodiac Killer's previous crimes in Benicia and Vallejo, would now know his likely quickest route back to this region, in all likelihood, the primary route of California State 29, leading straight back to Benicia.
The murder of Paul Stine in Presidio Heights was to follow the same template, a speedy exit up Maple Street to his waiting car, across the Golden Gate Bridge and quick disposal of his weapon, however it went horribly wrong, leaving the Zodiac Killer to improvise. Fortunately for him at least, he got lucky once more.